Combat Edge Intelligence

Gary Padilla vs Nikola Dipchikov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-6-0Record24-13-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Alliance MMATeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gary PadillaNow 1549
If they win+16→ 1565
If they lose-16→ 1533
Nikola DipchikovNow 1548
If they win+16→ 1564
If they lose-16→ 1532

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.20
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
28%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
76%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gary PadillaNikola Dipchikov
1550160020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
20 (83%)
3 (25%)
Submission
1 (4%)
5 (42%)
Decision
3 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Nikola Dipchikov62%
Gary Padilla 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nikola Dipchikov a 62% favorite over Gary Padilla in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gary Padilla's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1549 vs 1548), separated by just 1 points.

Gary Padilla enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nikola Dipchikov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gary Padilla finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Nikola Dipchikov 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.