Combat Edge Intelligence

Gasan Umalatov vs Manuel Del Valle

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-5-3Record8-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
41,0"Reach75"
181 lbsWeight170 lbs
Astrakhan Top TeamTeamSevilla Fight Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gasan UmalatovNow 1656
If they win+12→ 1668
If they lose-12→ 1644
Manuel Del ValleNow 1657
If they win+24→ 1681
If they lose-24→ 1633

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.23
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
60%
Strike defense
TBD
0.75
Takedown avg.
TBD
18%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
90%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gasan UmalatovManuel Del Valle
15501600165020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (22%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
7 (39%)
Submission
2 (25%)
7 (39%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Manuel Del Valle71%
Gasan Umalatov 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Manuel Del Valle a 71% favorite over Gasan Umalatov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1656 vs 1657), separated by just 1 points.

Manuel Del Valle enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Gasan Umalatov finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Manuel Del Valle 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.