Gaston Bolaños vs Renan Barão
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-5-0Record34-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
69"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
CSATeamPitbull Brothers
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1612
If they lose-16→ 1580
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gaston BolañosRenan Barão
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gaston Bolaños70%
Renan Barão 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Gaston Bolaños a 70% favorite over Renan Barão in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Renan Barão's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1596 vs 1598), separated by just 2 points.
Renan Barão enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Gaston Bolaños finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Renan Barão 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.