Gauge Young vs Nikolas Motta
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record15-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
70"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Ignite Jiu-JitsuTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1659
If they lose-16→ 1627
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gauge YoungNikolas Motta
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gauge Young62%
Nikolas Motta 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Gauge Young a 62% favorite over Nikolas Motta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1643 vs 1642), separated by just 1 points.
Gauge Young enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Gauge Young finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Nikolas Motta 67%.
Gauge Young and Nikolas Motta share 1 common opponent: Maheshate Hayisaer.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.