Combat Edge Intelligence

Geane Herrera vs Ray Borg

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ray Borg
us

Ray Borg

“The Tazmexican Devil”

16-5-0BantamweightEFC

1739Good

Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record16-5-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'4"
66,0"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Banks MMATeamJackson's MMA Acoma

What's at stake

Ray Borg is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Geane Herrera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Geane HerreraNow 1623
If they win+21→ 1644
If they lose-11→ 1612
Ray BorgNow 1739
If they win+11→ 1750
If they lose-21→ 1718

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.51
Sig. strikes / min
1.52
31%
Strike accuracy
52%
5.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.93
53%
Strike defense
48%
0.83
Takedown avg.
3.89
38%
Takedown accuracy
50%
38%
Takedown defense
47%
0.55
Submission avg.
1.04

Trajectory

Geane HerreraRay Borg
16001650170017502016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
1 (6%)
6 (60%)
Submission
6 (38%)
2 (20%)
Decision
9 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Ray Borg82%
Geane Herrera 18%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Ray Borg a 82% favorite over Geane Herrera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Ray Borg holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1739 to 1623, a 116-point edge.

Ray Borg enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Geane Herrera finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Ray Borg 44%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.