Combat Edge Intelligence

Genaro Valdéz vs Kyle Prepolec

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record18-10-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight160 lbs
Entram GymTeamMaximum Training Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Genaro ValdézNow 1579
If they win+16→ 1595
If they lose-16→ 1563
Kyle PrepolecNow 1577
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.08
Sig. strikes / min
2.87
30%
Strike accuracy
36%
7.16
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.19
49%
Strike defense
49%
1.54
Takedown avg.
0
44%
Takedown accuracy
0%
36%
Takedown defense
40%
0.38
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Genaro ValdézKyle Prepolec
1600165020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (70%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
3 (30%)
Submission
4 (22%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Genaro Valdéz60%
Kyle Prepolec 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Genaro Valdéz a 60% favorite over Kyle Prepolec in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1579 vs 1577), separated by just 2 points.

Genaro Valdéz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Kyle Prepolec enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Genaro Valdéz finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Prepolec 78%.

Genaro Valdéz carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.