Georges St-Pierre vs Johnny Eblen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-2-0Record17-1-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'3"
76" Reach74"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Tristar GymTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1807
If they lose-12→ 1783
If they win+16→ 1812
If they lose-16→ 1780
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1742 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1697 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Georges St-PierreJohnny Eblen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Johnny Eblen62%
Georges St-Pierre 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Johnny Eblen a 62% favorite over Georges St-Pierre in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1795 vs 1796), separated by just 1 points.
Georges St-Pierre enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Georges St-Pierre finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Johnny Eblen 47%.
Georges St-Pierre carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.