Combat Edge Intelligence

Gerald Harris vs Mantas Kondratavičius

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-8-1Record9-1-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'2"
TBDReach75"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Hurricane FitnessTeamFighter House

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gerald HarrisNow 1661
If they win+12→ 1673
If they lose-12→ 1649
Mantas KondratavičiusNow 1662
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.22
Sig. strikes / min
4.55
26%
Strike accuracy
33%
2.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.64
63%
Strike defense
60%
2.62
Takedown avg.
13.64
57%
Takedown accuracy
100%
73%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gerald HarrisMantas Kondratavičius
1600165017002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (58%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
2 (8%)
Submission
2 (22%)
9 (35%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Mantas Kondratavičius73%
Gerald Harris 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mantas Kondratavičius a 73% favorite over Gerald Harris in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1661 vs 1662), separated by just 1 points.

Mantas Kondratavičius enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Gerald Harris finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Mantas Kondratavičius 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.