Combat Edge Intelligence

Gerald Harris vs Zach Reese

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Zach Reese
us

Zach Reese

“Savage”

10-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1663Good

Tale of the tape

26-8-1Record10-3-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'3"
TBDReach77"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Hurricane FitnessTeamW4R Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gerald HarrisNow 1661
If they win+12→ 1673
If they lose-12→ 1649
Zach ReeseNow 1663
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.22
Sig. strikes / min
4.48
26%
Strike accuracy
54%
2.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.92
63%
Strike defense
44%
2.62
Takedown avg.
2.80
57%
Takedown accuracy
61%
73%
Takedown defense
52%
0
Submission avg.
1.27

Trajectory

Gerald HarrisZach Reese
1600165017002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (58%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
2 (8%)
Submission
3 (30%)
9 (35%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Zach Reese72%
Gerald Harris 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Zach Reese a 72% favorite over Gerald Harris in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1661 vs 1663), separated by just 2 points.

Gerald Harris finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Zach Reese 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.