Combat Edge Intelligence

Gerald Meerschaert vs Nate Marquardt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

37-22-0Record36-20-2
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
77"Reach42,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamHigh Altitude Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gerald MeerschaertNow 1650
If they win+12→ 1662
If they lose-12→ 1638
Nate MarquardtNow 1651
If they win+12→ 1663
If they lose-12→ 1639

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1688 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.01
Sig. strikes / min
2.71
45%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.32
53%
Strike defense
56%
1.82
Takedown avg.
1.87
30%
Takedown accuracy
51%
43%
Takedown defense
71%
1.38
Submission avg.
0.85

Trajectory

Gerald MeerschaertNate Marquardt
1650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (16%)
KO/TKO
13 (36%)
29 (78%)
Submission
15 (42%)
2 (5%)
Decision
8 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Gerald Meerschaert70%
Nate Marquardt 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gerald Meerschaert a 70% favorite over Nate Marquardt in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nate Marquardt's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1651), separated by just 1 points.

Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Gerald Meerschaert finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Nate Marquardt 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.