Combat Edge Intelligence

Geraldo de Freitas Jr. vs Ricky Steele

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ricky Steele
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Ricky Steele

“The Karate Kid”

8-2-0BantamweightFSF

1612Solid

Tale of the tape

14-7-0Record8-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'11"
39,0"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamSBG Idaho

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Geraldo de Freitas Jr.Now 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
Ricky SteeleNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.67
Sig. strikes / min
4.07
52%
Strike accuracy
71%
2.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.93
50%
Strike defense
50%
3
Takedown avg.
0
45%
Takedown accuracy
0%
59%
Takedown defense
92%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Geraldo de Freitas Jr.Ricky Steele
160016502021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
7 (50%)
Submission
1 (13%)
3 (21%)
Decision
7 (88%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Geraldo de Freitas Jr. and Ricky Steele within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1612), separated by just 1 points.

Geraldo de Freitas Jr. enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ricky Steele enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Geraldo de Freitas Jr. finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Steele 13%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.