Geronimo dos Santos vs Marcos Brigagao
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
44-26-1Record17-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
TBDReachTBD
265 lbsWeight210 lbs
Hard FightTeamD.O METHODOLOGY
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1577
If they lose-12→ 1553
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Geronimo dos SantosMarcos Brigagao
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcos Brigagao66%
Geronimo dos Santos 34%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcos Brigagao a 66% favorite over Geronimo dos Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1565 vs 1572), separated by just 7 points.
Geronimo dos Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marcos Brigagao enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Geronimo dos Santos finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Marcos Brigagao 88%.
Geronimo dos Santos and Marcos Brigagao share 1 common opponent: Oleg Popov.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
Loss KO/TKO · 2019
Loss Triangle Choke · 2021