Combat Edge Intelligence

Geronimo dos Santos vs Michal Martínek

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

44-26-1Record13-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
TBDReach80"
265 lbsWeight248 lbs
Hard FightTeamReinders MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Geronimo dos SantosNow 1565
If they win+12→ 1577
If they lose-12→ 1553
Michal MartínekNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Geronimo dos SantosMichal Martínek
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

31 (72%)
KO/TKO
8 (62%)
8 (19%)
Submission
1 (8%)
4 (9%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Michal Martínek72%
Geronimo dos Santos 28%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Michal Martínek a 72% favorite over Geronimo dos Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1565 vs 1572), separated by just 7 points.

Geronimo dos Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Geronimo dos Santos finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Michal Martínek 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.