Gerric Hayes vs Leandro Camargo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-11-0Record7-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
171 lbsWeight161 lbs
Bonafyde MMATeamStrikers MMA
What's at stake
Leandro Camargo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Gerric Hayes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1471
If they lose-14→ 1439
If they win+14→ 1503
If they lose-18→ 1471
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gerric HayesLeandro Camargo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leandro Camargo83%
Gerric Hayes 17%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Leandro Camargo a 83% favorite over Gerric Hayes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Leandro Camargo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1489 to 1453, a 36-point edge.
Gerric Hayes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Leandro Camargo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Gerric Hayes finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Leandro Camargo 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.