Gian Siqueira vs Ismail Naurdiev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-5-0Record25-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach74"
175 lbsWeight170 lbs
Astra Fight TeamTeamTop Team Salzburg
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649
If they win+12→ 1676
If they lose-12→ 1652
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gian SiqueiraIsmail Naurdiev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ismail Naurdiev60%
Gian Siqueira 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ismail Naurdiev a 60% favorite over Gian Siqueira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gian Siqueira's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1665 vs 1664), separated by just 1 points.
Gian Siqueira finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Ismail Naurdiev 76%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.