Gian Siqueira vs Mantas Kondratavičius
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-5-0Record9-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach75"
175 lbsWeight185 lbs
Astra Fight TeamTeamFighter House
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gian SiqueiraMantas Kondratavičius
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mantas Kondratavičius66%
Gian Siqueira 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mantas Kondratavičius a 66% favorite over Gian Siqueira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gian Siqueira's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1665 vs 1662), separated by just 3 points.
Mantas Kondratavičius enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Gian Siqueira finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Mantas Kondratavičius 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.