Gilbert Aldana vs Thomas Petersen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record11-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReach74"
250 lbsWeight257 lbs
Brausa AcademyTeamSpartan MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1660
If they lose-24→ 1612
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1521 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gilbert AldanaThomas Petersen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Thomas Petersen66%
Gilbert Aldana 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Thomas Petersen a 66% favorite over Gilbert Aldana in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1639), separated by just 3 points.
Gilbert Aldana enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Gilbert Aldana finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Petersen 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.