Combat Edge Intelligence

Gilles Arsene vs Trevor Makengo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

1-1-0Record2-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'3"
TBDReach-
190 lbsWeight239 lbs
TBDTeamC-MAC

What's at stake

Trevor Makengo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Gilles Arsene carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gilles ArseneNow 1507
If they win+26→ 1533
If they lose-22→ 1485
Trevor MakengoNow 1531
If they win+22→ 1553
If they lose-26→ 1505

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gilles ArseneTrevor Makengo
150015502002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (50%)
1 (100%)
Submission
1 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Trevor Makengo62%
Gilles Arsene 38%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Trevor Makengo a 62% favorite over Gilles Arsene in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Trevor Makengo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1531 to 1507, a 24-point edge.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.