Combat Edge Intelligence

Giovanni Fernandez vs Shane Mullen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-6-0Record1-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
-Reach67"
133 lbsWeight135 lbs
Pythagore Academy CognacTeamFight Academy Ireland

What's at stake

Shane Mullen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Giovanni Fernandez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Giovanni FernandezNow 1426
If they win+29→ 1455
If they lose-19→ 1407
Shane MullenNow 1500
If they win+19→ 1519
If they lose-29→ 1471

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Giovanni FernandezShane Mullen
145015001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (67%)
Submission
1 (100%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Shane Mullen60%
Giovanni Fernandez 40%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Shane Mullen a 60% favorite over Giovanni Fernandez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Shane Mullen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1500 to 1426, a 74-point edge.

Giovanni Fernandez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Giovanni Fernandez finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.