Combat Edge Intelligence

Gleidson Moraes Cutis vs Yusaku Kinoshita

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-5-0Record6-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'0"
TBDReach71,5"
161 lbsWeight170 lbs
Ohana AcademyTeamPancrase Inagakigumi

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gleidson Moraes CutisNow 1527
If they win+16→ 1543
If they lose-16→ 1511
Yusaku KinoshitaNow 1527
If they win+16→ 1543
If they lose-16→ 1511

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.99
Sig. strikes / min
4.65
52%
Strike accuracy
50%
8.28
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.12
60%
Strike defense
52%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gleidson Moraes CutisYusaku Kinoshita
15502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
2 (29%)
Submission
2 (33%)
4 (57%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Yusaku Kinoshita60%
Gleidson Moraes Cutis 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yusaku Kinoshita a 60% favorite over Gleidson Moraes Cutis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gleidson Moraes Cutis's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1527 vs 1527), separated by just 0 points.

Gleidson Moraes Cutis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Yusaku Kinoshita enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Gleidson Moraes Cutis finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Yusaku Kinoshita 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.