Combat Edge Intelligence

Gleison Tibau vs Mike Davis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mike Davis
us

Mike Davis

“Beast Boy”

12-3-0LightweightUFC

1677Good

Tale of the tape

38-19-0Record12-3-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'0"
71,0"Reach72"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamFusion X-Cel

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gleison TibauNow 1675
If they win+12→ 1687
If they lose-12→ 1663
Mike DavisNow 1677
If they win+16→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1661

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.95
Sig. strikes / min
0
32%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.51
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.19
63%
Strike defense
57%
4.08
Takedown avg.
2.48
54%
Takedown accuracy
53%
92%
Takedown defense
64%
0.83
Submission avg.
0.40

Trajectory

Gleison TibauMike Davis
165017002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (11%)
KO/TKO
8 (67%)
15 (39%)
Submission
2 (17%)
19 (50%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Mike Davis72%
Gleison Tibau 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mike Davis a 72% favorite over Gleison Tibau in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1675 vs 1677), separated by just 2 points.

Gleison Tibau finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Mike Davis 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.