Combat Edge Intelligence

Gloria de Paula vs Heather Jo Clark

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-7-0Record8-6-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'6"
67"Reach64.00
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
Fabiana Belai AcademiaTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gloria de PaulaNow 1494
If they win+16→ 1510
If they lose-16→ 1478
Heather Jo ClarkNow 1497
If they win+24→ 1521
If they lose-24→ 1473

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1620 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.89
Sig. strikes / min
3.69
54%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.77
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.62
66%
Strike defense
51%
0.74
Takedown avg.
0.33
38%
Takedown accuracy
4%
65%
Takedown defense
80%
0.49
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Gloria de PaulaHeather Jo Clark
150015502015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (38%)
3 (50%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Gloria de Paula and Heather Jo Clark within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1494 vs 1497), separated by just 3 points.

Gloria de Paula enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Heather Jo Clark enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gloria de Paula finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Heather Jo Clark 63%.

Gloria de Paula carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.