Gloria de Paula vs Istela Nunes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-7-0Record6-6-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'4"
67"Reach66"
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
Fabiana Belai AcademiaTeamTeam Nunes
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1510
If they lose-16→ 1478
If they win+16→ 1517
If they lose-16→ 1485
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gloria de PaulaIstela Nunes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gloria de Paula60%
Istela Nunes 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Gloria de Paula a 60% favorite over Istela Nunes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Istela Nunes's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1494 vs 1501), separated by just 7 points.
Gloria de Paula enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Istela Nunes enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Gloria de Paula finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Istela Nunes 33%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.