Combat Edge Intelligence

Gloria de Paula vs Jamie Moyle

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-7-0Record4-4-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'1"
67"Reach35,0"
116 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fabiana Belai AcademiaTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gloria de PaulaNow 1494
If they win+16→ 1510
If they lose-16→ 1478
Jamie MoyleNow 1504
If they win+23→ 1527
If they lose-25→ 1479

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.89
Sig. strikes / min
4.51
54%
Strike accuracy
52%
3.77
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4
66%
Strike defense
66%
0.74
Takedown avg.
1
38%
Takedown accuracy
21%
65%
Takedown defense
50%
0.49
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gloria de PaulaJamie Moyle
1500155020172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (25%)
3 (50%)
Decision
3 (75%)

Combat Edge model read

Gloria de Paula52%
Jamie Moyle 48%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Gloria de Paula a 52% favorite over Jamie Moyle in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jamie Moyle's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1494 vs 1504), separated by just 10 points.

Gloria de Paula enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jamie Moyle enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Gloria de Paula finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jamie Moyle 25%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.