Gloria de Paula vs Jessica Rakoczy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-7-0Record1-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'7"
67"ReachTBD
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
Fabiana Belai AcademiaTeamTBD
What's at stake
Gloria de Paula is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Jessica Rakoczy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1507
If they lose-19→ 1475
If they win+28→ 1457
If they lose-20→ 1409
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gloria de PaulaJessica Rakoczy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gloria de Paula64%
Jessica Rakoczy 36%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Gloria de Paula a 64% favorite over Jessica Rakoczy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Gloria de Paula holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1494 to 1429, a 65-point edge.
Gloria de Paula enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jessica Rakoczy enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gloria de Paula finishes 50% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.