Gloria de Paula vs Kailin Curran
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
6-7-0Record6-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'4"
67"Reach37,0"
116 lbsWeight113 lbs
Fabiana Belai AcademiaTeamRVCA
What's at stake
Gloria de Paula is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Kailin Curran carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1509
If they lose-17→ 1477
If they win+17→ 1488
If they lose-15→ 1456
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gloria de PaulaKailin Curran
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kailin Curran54%
Gloria de Paula 46%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Kailin Curran a 54% favorite over Gloria de Paula in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gloria de Paula's way (47%).
Gloria de Paula holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1494 to 1471, a 23-point edge.
Gloria de Paula enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kailin Curran enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Gloria de Paula finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Kailin Curran 17%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.