Gloria de Paula vs Kathryn Paprocki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-7-0Record3-3-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'3"
67"Reach36,0"
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
Fabiana Belai AcademiaTeamDCO MMA & FItness
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1510
If they lose-16→ 1478
If they win+24→ 1518
If they lose-24→ 1470
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gloria de PaulaKathryn Paprocki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kathryn Paprocki56%
Gloria de Paula 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kathryn Paprocki a 56% favorite over Gloria de Paula in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gloria de Paula's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1494 vs 1494), separated by just 0 points.
Gloria de Paula enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kathryn Paprocki enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gloria de Paula finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Kathryn Paprocki 33%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.