Combat Edge Intelligence

Gloria de Paula vs Maia Stevenson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-7-0Record6-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'4"
67"Reach35.00
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
Fabiana Belai AcademiaTeamJoe Stevenson's Cobra Kai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gloria de PaulaNow 1494
If they win+16→ 1510
If they lose-16→ 1478
Maia StevensonNow 1484
If they win+25→ 1509
If they lose-23→ 1461

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.89
Sig. strikes / min
1.57
54%
Strike accuracy
55%
3.77
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.13
66%
Strike defense
33%
0.74
Takedown avg.
3.91
38%
Takedown accuracy
100%
65%
Takedown defense
50%
0.49
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gloria de PaulaMaia Stevenson
15001550201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (33%)
3 (50%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Gloria de Paula and Maia Stevenson within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1494 vs 1484), separated by just 10 points.

Gloria de Paula enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Gloria de Paula finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Maia Stevenson 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.