Gloria de Paula vs Polyana Viana
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-7-0Record13-9-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'7"
67"Reach67"
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
Fabiana Belai AcademiaTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima
What's at stake
Polyana Viana is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Gloria de Paula carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1512
If they lose-14→ 1480
If they win+14→ 1555
If they lose-18→ 1523
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gloria de PaulaPolyana Viana
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Polyana Viana66%
Gloria de Paula 34%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Polyana Viana a 66% favorite over Gloria de Paula in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Polyana Viana holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1541 to 1494, a 47-point edge.
Gloria de Paula enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Polyana Viana enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Gloria de Paula finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Polyana Viana 100%.
Gloria de Paula and Polyana Viana share 1 common opponent: Jinh Yu Frey.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.