Gökhan Saki vs Joe Schilling
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-2-0Record4-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
43,0"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Mike's GymTeamThe Yard Muay Thai
What's at stake
Gökhan Saki is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Joe Schilling carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1507
If they lose-26→ 1459
If they win+26→ 1488
If they lose-22→ 1440
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gökhan SakiJoe Schilling
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Schilling56%
Gökhan Saki 44%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Schilling a 56% favorite over Gökhan Saki in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gökhan Saki's way (47%).
Gökhan Saki holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1485 to 1462, a 23-point edge.
Gökhan Saki enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Schilling enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Schilling 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.