Combat Edge Intelligence

Gokhan Saricam vs Renan Ferreira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record13-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'8"
76"Reach85"
246 lbsWeight264 lbs
MMA VlaardingenTeamTeam Nogueira

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gokhan SaricamNow 1663
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
Renan FerreiraNow 1666
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1673 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gokhan SaricamRenan Ferreira
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (67%)
KO/TKO
11 (85%)
1 (8%)
Submission
1 (8%)
3 (25%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Gokhan Saricam51%
Renan Ferreira 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gokhan Saricam a 51% favorite over Renan Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Renan Ferreira's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1663 vs 1666), separated by just 3 points.

Gokhan Saricam enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Renan Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Gokhan Saricam finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Renan Ferreira 92%.

Renan Ferreira carries a 9-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.