Combat Edge Intelligence

Grant Neal vs Klidson Abreu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Grant Neal
us

Grant Neal

“The Truth”

9-2-0Light HeavyweightBFC

1642Solid

Tale of the tape

9-2-0Record16-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
72"Reach74,0"
205 lbsWeight258 lbs
Genesis Training AcademyTeamBrazilian TKO

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Grant NealNow 1642
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626
Klidson AbreuNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.05
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.90
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.64
TBD
Takedown accuracy
20%
TBD
Takedown defense
80%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Grant NealKlidson Abreu
16001650202220232024

Win method breakdown

1 (11%)
KO/TKO
4 (25%)
3 (33%)
Submission
10 (63%)
5 (56%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Grant Neal66%
Klidson Abreu 34%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Grant Neal a 66% favorite over Klidson Abreu in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Klidson Abreu's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1642 vs 1646), separated by just 4 points.

Grant Neal finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Klidson Abreu 88%.

Klidson Abreu carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.