Greg Nagy vs Matheus Scheffel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-3-0Record17-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
215 lbsWeight262 lbs
RITC Training CenterTeamCM System
What's at stake
Matheus Scheffel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Greg Nagy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1498
If they lose-21→ 1450
If they win+10→ 1531
If they lose-14→ 1507
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Greg NagyMatheus Scheffel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matheus Scheffel61%
Greg Nagy 39%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Scheffel a 61% favorite over Greg Nagy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Matheus Scheffel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1521 to 1471, a 50-point edge.
Matheus Scheffel enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Matheus Scheffel 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.