Grigory Popov vs John Garza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-4-0Record6-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
68,0"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamAzTex MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
If they win+24→ 1623
If they lose-24→ 1575
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Grigory PopovJohn Garza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Garza73%
Grigory Popov 27%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes John Garza a 73% favorite over Grigory Popov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Grigory Popov's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1599), separated by just 0 points.
Grigory Popov finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, John Garza 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.