Combat Edge Intelligence

Grigory Popov vs Mando Gutierrez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-4-0Record9-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
68,0"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamMurcielago MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Grigory PopovNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
Mando GutierrezNow 1598
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.63
Sig. strikes / min
0.80
38%
Strike accuracy
75%
4.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.33
56%
Strike defense
50%
0
Takedown avg.
1
0%
Takedown accuracy
100%
45%
Takedown defense
40%
0
Submission avg.
1

Trajectory

Grigory PopovMando Gutierrez
1600202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (36%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
3 (21%)
Submission
6 (67%)
6 (43%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Mando Gutierrez63%
Grigory Popov 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mando Gutierrez a 63% favorite over Grigory Popov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Grigory Popov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1598), separated by just 1 points.

Grigory Popov finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Mando Gutierrez 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.