
Gustavo Lopez vs Pingyuan Liu
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Pingyuan Liu a 66% favorite over Gustavo Lopez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gustavo Lopez's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1634), separated by just 1 points.
Gustavo Lopez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Pingyuan Liu enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gustavo Lopez finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Pingyuan Liu 67%.
Gustavo Lopez and Pingyuan Liu share 1 common opponent: Beno Adamia.
Pingyuan Liu carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.