Combat Edge Intelligence

Gustavo Lopez vs Pingyuan Liu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-8-1Record15-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'6"
67"Reach72,0"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gustavo LopezNow 1635
If they win+12→ 1647
If they lose-12→ 1623
Pingyuan LiuNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.36
TBD
Strike accuracy
34%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.99
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.25
TBD
Takedown accuracy
20%
TBD
Takedown defense
56%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.02

Trajectory

Gustavo LopezPingyuan Liu
1600165020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (44%)
KO/TKO
4 (27%)
8 (50%)
Submission
6 (40%)
1 (6%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Pingyuan Liu66%
Gustavo Lopez 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Pingyuan Liu a 66% favorite over Gustavo Lopez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gustavo Lopez's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1634), separated by just 1 points.

Gustavo Lopez enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Pingyuan Liu enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gustavo Lopez finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Pingyuan Liu 67%.

Gustavo Lopez and Pingyuan Liu share 1 common opponent: Beno Adamia.

Pingyuan Liu carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2023
Beno Adamia
Win Inverted Triangle · 2016