Combat Edge Intelligence

Gustavo Oliveira vs Lazaro Dayron

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-2-0Record8-0-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
71"ReachN/A
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Fight LesteTeamThe Goat Shed Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gustavo OliveiraNow 1687
If they win+16→ 1703
If they lose-16→ 1671
Lazaro DayronNow 1687
If they win+24→ 1711
If they lose-24→ 1663

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gustavo OliveiraLazaro Dayron
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (62%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
4 (31%)
Submission
1 (13%)
1 (8%)
Decision
4 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Gustavo Oliveira60%
Lazaro Dayron 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gustavo Oliveira a 60% favorite over Lazaro Dayron in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1687 vs 1687), separated by just 0 points.

Gustavo Oliveira enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Lazaro Dayron enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Gustavo Oliveira finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Lazaro Dayron 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.