Combat Edge Intelligence

Gustavo Oliveira vs Tommy Morrisson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-2-0Record11-0-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
71"Reach67.1"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight LesteTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gustavo OliveiraNow 1687
If they win+16→ 1703
If they lose-16→ 1671
Tommy MorrissonNow 1688
If they win+16→ 1704
If they lose-16→ 1672

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gustavo OliveiraTommy Morrisson
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (62%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
4 (31%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (8%)
Decision
9 (82%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Gustavo Oliveira and Tommy Morrisson within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1687 vs 1688), separated by just 1 points.

Gustavo Oliveira enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Tommy Morrisson enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Gustavo Oliveira finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Tommy Morrisson 18%.

Gustavo Oliveira carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.