Combat Edge Intelligence

Gvido Šusts vs Hugo Duarte

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record6-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
TBDHeight6'0"
-ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight240 lbs
TBDTeamHugo Duarte Luta Livre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gvido ŠustsNow 1531
If they win+23→ 1554
If they lose-25→ 1506
Hugo DuarteNow 1517
If they win+25→ 1542
If they lose-23→ 1494

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gvido ŠustsHugo Duarte
150015501999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
3 (60%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (40%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Gvido Šusts60%
Hugo Duarte 40%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Gvido Šusts a 60% favorite over Hugo Duarte in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1531 vs 1517), separated by just 14 points.

Hugo Duarte 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.