Combat Edge Intelligence

Gvido Šusts vs Icho Larenas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record6-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
TBDHeight6'3"
-ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight255 lbs
TBDTeamTBD

What's at stake

Gvido Šusts is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Icho Larenas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gvido ŠustsNow 1531
If they win+21→ 1552
If they lose-27→ 1504
Icho LarenasNow 1493
If they win+18→ 1511
If they lose-14→ 1479

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.17
TBD
Strike accuracy
15%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.50
TBD
Strike defense
29%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
14%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gvido ŠustsIcho Larenas
1500155020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
6 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Gvido Šusts71%
Icho Larenas 29%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Gvido Šusts a 71% favorite over Icho Larenas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Gvido Šusts holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1531 to 1493, a 38-point edge.

Icho Larenas enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Icho Larenas 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.