Combat Edge Intelligence

Gvido Šusts vs Jason Fairn

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jason Fairn
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Jason Fairn

“Bonecracker”

4-5-0HeavyweightAFC

1456Average

Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record4-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
TBDHeight6'1"
-ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight230 lbs
TBDTeamFairn Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

Gvido Šusts is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Jason Fairn carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gvido ŠustsNow 1531
If they win+19→ 1550
If they lose-29→ 1502
Jason FairnNow 1456
If they win+29→ 1485
If they lose-19→ 1437

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gvido ŠustsJason Fairn
1450150015502002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (100%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Gvido Šusts73%
Jason Fairn 27%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Gvido Šusts a 73% favorite over Jason Fairn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Gvido Šusts holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1531 to 1456, a 75-point edge.

Jason Fairn 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.