Combat Edge Intelligence

Gvido Šusts vs Mike Polchlopek

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record1-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
TBDHeight6'4"
-ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight265 lbs
TBDTeamTBD

What's at stake

Gvido Šusts is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Mike Polchlopek carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gvido ŠustsNow 1531
If they win+23→ 1554
If they lose-25→ 1506
Mike PolchlopekNow 1515
If they win+25→ 1540
If they lose-23→ 1492

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gvido ŠustsMike Polchlopek
1500155020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
1 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Gvido Šusts59%
Mike Polchlopek 41%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Gvido Šusts a 59% favorite over Mike Polchlopek in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Gvido Šusts holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1531 to 1515, a 16-point edge.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.