Combat Edge Intelligence

Gvido Šusts vs Tim Catalfo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record4-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
TBDHeight5'11"
-ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight231 lbs
TBDTeamTeam Obake

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gvido ŠustsNow 1531
If they win+24→ 1555
If they lose-24→ 1507
Tim CatalfoNow 1535
If they win+24→ 1559
If they lose-24→ 1511

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gvido ŠustsTim Catalfo
15502002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (100%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Gvido Šusts60%
Tim Catalfo 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Gvido Šusts a 60% favorite over Tim Catalfo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tim Catalfo's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1531 vs 1535), separated by just 4 points.

Tim Catalfo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Tim Catalfo 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.