Combat Edge Intelligence

Gvido Šusts vs James Toney

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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James Toney
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James Toney

“Lights Out”

0-1-0HeavyweightUFC

1488Average

Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record0-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
TBDHeight5'10"
-ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight237 lbs
TBDTeamM-1 Global Training Center

What's at stake

Gvido Šusts is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — James Toney carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gvido ŠustsNow 1531
If they win+21→ 1552
If they lose-27→ 1504
James ToneyNow 1488
If they win+27→ 1515
If they lose-21→ 1467

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1735 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.41
TBD
Strike defense
27%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gvido ŠustsJames Toney
150015502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Gvido Šusts70%
James Toney 30%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Gvido Šusts a 70% favorite over James Toney in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Gvido Šusts holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1531 to 1488, a 43-point edge.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.