Combat Edge Intelligence

Gvido Šusts vs John Dowdy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record0-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
TBDHeight6'2"
-ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight207 lbs
TBDTeamTBD

What's at stake

Gvido Šusts is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — John Dowdy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gvido ŠustsNow 1531
If they win+20→ 1551
If they lose-28→ 1503
John DowdyNow 1473
If they win+28→ 1501
If they lose-20→ 1453

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gvido ŠustsJohn Dowdy
150015501996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Gvido Šusts71%
John Dowdy 29%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Gvido Šusts a 71% favorite over John Dowdy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Gvido Šusts holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1531 to 1473, a 58-point edge.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.