Combat Edge Intelligence

Gvido Šusts vs Josh Hendricks

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record19-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
TBDHeight6'2"
-ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight259 lbs
TBDTeamSuperior Health Club

What's at stake

Gvido Šusts is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Josh Hendricks carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gvido ŠustsNow 1531
If they win+22→ 1553
If they lose-26→ 1505
Josh HendricksNow 1499
If they win+17→ 1516
If they lose-15→ 1484

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.98
TBD
Strike accuracy
20%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
11.80
TBD
Strike defense
29%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gvido ŠustsJosh Hendricks
15001550201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
5 (26%)
0 (0%)
Submission
12 (63%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Gvido Šusts73%
Josh Hendricks 27%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Gvido Šusts a 73% favorite over Josh Hendricks in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Gvido Šusts holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1531 to 1499, a 32-point edge.

Josh Hendricks enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Josh Hendricks 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.