Gökhan Aksu vs Sergio Moraes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-7-1Record14-7-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'0"
-Reach72,0"
158 lbsWeight170 lbs
Hard KnocksTeamBrazilian TKO
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1673 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gökhan AksuSergio Moraes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gökhan Aksu71%
Sergio Moraes 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Gökhan Aksu a 71% favorite over Sergio Moraes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1642 vs 1641), separated by just 1 points.
Sergio Moraes enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Gökhan Aksu finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Sergio Moraes 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.