Combat Edge Intelligence

Haidy Ahmed vs Jamie Moyle

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-2-0Record4-4-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'1"
-Reach35,0"
116 lbsWeight125 lbs
Tiger TeamTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Haidy AhmedNow 1493
If they win+25→ 1518
If they lose-23→ 1470
Jamie MoyleNow 1504
If they win+23→ 1527
If they lose-25→ 1479

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.51
TBD
Strike accuracy
52%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4
TBD
Strike defense
66%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1
TBD
Takedown accuracy
21%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Haidy AhmedJamie Moyle
150015502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (25%)
2 (67%)
Decision
3 (75%)

Combat Edge model read

Haidy Ahmed62%
Jamie Moyle 38%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Haidy Ahmed a 62% favorite over Jamie Moyle in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jamie Moyle's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1493 vs 1504), separated by just 11 points.

Jamie Moyle enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Haidy Ahmed finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Jamie Moyle 25%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.