Combat Edge Intelligence

Haidy Ahmed vs Jessica Rakoczy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-2-0Record1-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
Tiger TeamTeamTBD

What's at stake

Haidy Ahmed is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Jessica Rakoczy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Haidy AhmedNow 1493
If they win+20→ 1513
If they lose-28→ 1465
Jessica RakoczyNow 1429
If they win+28→ 1457
If they lose-20→ 1409

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.50
TBD
Strike accuracy
45%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.55
TBD
Strike defense
65%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.75
TBD
Takedown accuracy
20%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.75

Trajectory

Haidy AhmedJessica Rakoczy
1450150020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
1 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (67%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Haidy Ahmed72%
Jessica Rakoczy 28%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Haidy Ahmed a 72% favorite over Jessica Rakoczy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Haidy Ahmed holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1493 to 1429, a 64-point edge.

Jessica Rakoczy enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Haidy Ahmed finishes 33% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.