Hamad Marhoon vs Santo Curatolo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-1-0Record6-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'3"
66"Reach43,5"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
KHK MMA TeamTeamNick Catone MMA & Fitness
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1534
If they lose-24→ 1486
If they win+16→ 1533
If they lose-16→ 1501
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Hamad MarhoonSanto Curatolo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Hamad Marhoon51%
Santo Curatolo 49%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Hamad Marhoon a 51% favorite over Santo Curatolo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Santo Curatolo's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1510 vs 1517), separated by just 7 points.
Santo Curatolo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Santo Curatolo 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.